Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

LSU head coach Brian Kelly argues a call during the third quarter of an NCAA college football game against Missouri, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Columbia, Mo. LSU won 49-39. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
  • Texas A&M is a -2.5 point favorite vs. LSU
  • Texas A&M vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Texas A&M (7-0) visit Tiger Stadium to take on LSU (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-118).

The Texas A&M vs. LSU Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-2.5 -11848.5 -110-145
LSU +2.5 -10248.5 -110120

Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 55.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas A&M vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 50.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.82 Units / 36% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 9.84% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).

  • LSU is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 21.08% ROI
  • LSU is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • LSU is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,871 passing yards in 20 games (293.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 221.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU Skill Players were targeted 18.8 times per game (244/13) in the 2nd half last season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3

LSU WRs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

LSU Skill Players averaged 26.1 receptions per game (339/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 18.9

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

LSU is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718

LSU was 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .575

LSU was 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. LSU

LSU is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718

LSU was 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .575

LSU was 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,871 passing yards in 20 games (293.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 221.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU Skill Players were targeted 18.8 times per game (244/13) in the 2nd half last season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3

LSU WRs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

LSU Skill Players averaged 26.1 receptions per game (339/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 18.9

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,871 passing yards in 20 games (293.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 221.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU Skill Players were targeted 18.8 times per game (244/13) in the 2nd half last season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3

LSU WRs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

LSU Skill Players averaged 26.1 receptions per game (339/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 18.9

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

LSU is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718

LSU was 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .575

LSU was 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,871 passing yards in 20 games (293.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 221.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.

LSU Skill Players were targeted 18.8 times per game (244/13) in the 2nd half last season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3

LSU WRs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

LSU Skill Players averaged 26.1 receptions per game (339/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 18.9

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends

LSU is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718

LSU was 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .575

LSU was 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668


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