Texas vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • Texas (6-4) are -9.5 point favorites vs Kansas (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points

The Texas Longhorns (7-4) visit David Booth Memorial Stadium (Lawrence, KS) to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lawrence.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas vs. Kansas is total points.

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Texas vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas
Kansas

Texas vs Kansas Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 67.3% confidence.

Texas vs Kansas Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Kansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Kansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+14.30 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -20.81% ROI
  • Texas is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Texas is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 56% ROI
  • Kansas is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Kansas is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

#20 Texas is 3-9 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Kansas is winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

#19 Kansas is 3-17 (.120) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

#19 Kansas is 1-13 (.071) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

#19 Kansas is winless (0-13) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Kansas

Kansas’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — fifth-most among P5 TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s RBs has 6 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS RBs. Texas’s defense has allowed 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s QBs has rushed for 479 yards on 81 carries (5.9 YPC) this season — tied for fifth-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas’s RBs has 8 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 42 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas’s RBs has 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-most among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 15 receiving touchdowns this season — third-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas WRs have caught just 5 of 21 passes (24% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Texas WRs have caught just 5 of 21 passes (24% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 54%

Texas WRs have averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (39 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.7

Texas Skill Players have caught just 35 of 85 passes (41% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Kansas Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kansas RBs have averaged 6.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,743 yards / 252 touches) this season– tied for 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Kansas RBs have fumbled 7 times this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kansas RBs have averaged 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (899 yards / 119 touches) in the 1st half this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (10 completions/34 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%

Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (10 completions/34 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 53%

Texas has allowed a passer rating of just 75.2 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 158.9

Texas has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 34 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Texas has allowed just 11.0 yards per completion (5,107 yards/464 completions) since last season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.7

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 93 of 873 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Kansas has allowed 69 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2.1

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 15 of 180 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (432 completions/632 attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 93 of 873 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.