Texas vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

min read
Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:34 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Texas Longhorns (6-3) visit Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (6-3) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Manhattan.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas vs. Kansas State is total points.

Bet now on Kansas State vs Texas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas
Kansas State

Texas vs Kansas State Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Texas vs Kansas State Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

#20 Texas is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

#20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

#17 Kansas State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .560

#17 Kansas State is 6-4 (.600) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405

#17 Kansas State is 9-4 (.562) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439

Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Kansas State

Kansas State’s TEs have just 8.9 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 220.9 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas has 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among Power 5 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Texas’s RBs has 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-most among FBS RBs. TCU’s defense has allowed 13 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas’s RBs has 8 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among FBS RBs. TCU’s defense has allowed 33 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

#18 Texas WRs have caught just 3 of 15 passes (20% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

#18 Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#18 Texas RBs have averaged 51.5 receiving yards per game (412/8) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.1

#18 Texas WRs have caught just 3 of 15 passes (20% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 54%

#18 Texas WRs have averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (26 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.0

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

#23 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (353 yards/17 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

#23 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (353 yards/17 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

#23 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (775 yards/43 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

#23 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (775 yards/43 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

#23 Kansas State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 Texas has allowed a passer rating of just 75.2 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 156.6

#18 Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (10 completions/34 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%

#18 Texas has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 34 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#18 Texas has allowed a passer rating of just 75.2 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 163.4

#18 Texas has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 34 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#23 Kansas State has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.3

#23 Kansas State has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.9

#23 Kansas State has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7

#23 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 95 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

#23 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 95 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Kansas State vs Texas and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.