- Texas is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
- Texas vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Texas (4-2) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (2-3) on Oct. 18 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).
The Texas vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas | -12.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -475 |
| Kentucky | +12.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | 360 |
Texas vs Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Best Bets Today
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+2.90 Units / 1% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets Today
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Texas is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -46.07% ROI
- Texas is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Texas is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky iss 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Kentucky is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.82% ROI
- Kentucky is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Texas’s WRs has gained 1,025 yards on 70 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 174 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.8
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Kentucky WRs have caught just 42 of 82 passes (51% Reception Pct) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 65%
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 295 yards on 19 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC since the 2024 season — best among SEC defenses.
Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Kentucky
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.8
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Kentucky WRs have caught just 42 of 82 passes (51% Reception Pct) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 65%
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 295 yards on 19 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC since the 2024 season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas’s WRs has gained 1,025 yards on 70 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 174 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas’s WRs has gained 1,025 yards on 70 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 174 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.8
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Kentucky WRs have caught just 42 of 82 passes (51% Reception Pct) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 65%
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 295 yards on 19 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC since the 2024 season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas’s WRs has gained 1,025 yards on 70 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 174 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas has 464 receptions in 22 games (21.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.8
Kentucky WRs have just one touchdown on 42 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Kentucky WRs have caught just 42 of 82 passes (51% Reception Pct) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 65%
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 295 yards on 19 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC since the 2024 season — best among SEC defenses.
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