Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 9:11 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Texas Longhorns (5-3) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-2) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Stillwater.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas vs. Oklahoma State is total points.

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Texas vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas
Oklahoma State

Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 58.4% confidence.

Texas vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 76.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Oklahoma State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bijan Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.80 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Texas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Texas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Texas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Oklahoma State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Oklahoma State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Oklahoma State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Oklahoma State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

    Texas is 1-7 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .355

    Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

    Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

    #7 Oklahoma State is 10-1 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

    #7 Oklahoma State is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .609

    #7 Oklahoma State is 6-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

    #7 Oklahoma State is 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

    Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Oklahoma State

    Oklahoma State’s WRs has gained 1,471 yards on 104 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

    Oklahoma State has gained 1,750 yards on 129 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — second-best among Big 12 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

    Oklahoma State have 291.7 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Big 12 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 211.7 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Texas’s WRs has gained 2,837 yards on 201 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    Texas’s TEs has been targeted 34 times this season — second-most among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 1,806 receiving yards this season — second-most among P5 defenses.

    Texas’s WRs has 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for most among Big 12 defenses.

    Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

    Texas’s WRs has gained 2,837 yards on 201 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

    #22 Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Texas’s TEs has been targeted 34 times this season — second-most among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 1,806 receiving yards this season — second-most among P5 defenses.

    Texas’s WRs has 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for most among Big 12 defenses.

    Texas has 26 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 17 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

    Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

    #8 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    #8 Oklahoma State Skill Players have fumbled 9 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

    #8 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

    Oklahoma State’s WRs has gained 1,471 yards on 104 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

    #8 Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 0 receptions per game (0/2) since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

    Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

    #22 Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (8 completions/27 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 53%

    #22 Texas has allowed just 10.9 yards per completion (4,198 yards/386 completions) since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

    #22 Texas has allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 27 passes (30% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 54%

    #22 Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (75 completions/107 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 58%

    #22 Texas has allowed a passer rating of just 75.1 in the Red Zone (27.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 152.4

    Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

    #8 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 59 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

    #8 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 15 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

    #8 Oklahoma State has allowed first downs on 29% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

    #8 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 158 of 672 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

    #8 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 158 of 672 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.