Texas State vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 2:00 PM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Texas State Bobcats (3-6) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-6) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Monroe.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas State vs. UL Monroe is total points.

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Texas State vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State
UL Monroe

Texas State vs UL Monroe Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Texas State vs UL Monroe Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and UL Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best UL Monroe Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UL Monroe players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UL Monroe is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • UL Monroe is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • UL Monroe is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Texas State is 2-12 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Texas State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .387

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State

Louisiana-Monroe is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .367

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Louisiana-Monroe is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .437

Matchup Notes for Texas State vs. UL Monroe

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Texas State’s offense has 5 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season — tied for third-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Texas State’s QBs has rushed for -88 yards on 34 carries (just -2.6 YPC) this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense have allowed just 3.1 YPC this season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas State WRs have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (443 yards/54 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Texas State Skill Players have averaged just 9.5 yards per reception (1,555 yards/163 catches) on 1st down since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Texas State Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (263 yards/32 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Texas State TEs have been targeted 0.7 times per game (2/3) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for 5th lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

Texas State WRs have averaged just 10.6 yards per reception (1,426 yards/134 catches) on 1st down since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.8

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,382 yards/378 carries) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (438 yards / 129 touches) on 2nd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Louisiana-Monroe WRs have no touchdowns on 31 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,614 yards / 421 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (542 yards/180 carries) in the 1st half since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas State has allowed 55.5 receiving yards per game (444/8) to RBs this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 26.9

Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (23 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Texas State has allowed just 11.8 yards per completion (5,221 yards/441 completions) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 45 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 45 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a passer rating of 229.6 in the Red Zone (62.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 168.1

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to catch 45 of 63 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (63 completions/92 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (44 completions/62 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 4.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (820 yards / 173 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.