Texas Tech vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
  • Texas Tech is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Arizona St
  • Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Texas Tech (6-0) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on Arizona State (4-2) on Oct. 18 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech-7.5 -11051.5 -110-300
Arizona State +7.5 -11051.5 -110250

Texas Tech vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 63.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech is 6-0 against the spread this college football season (+6 Units / 90.23% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 13.2% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St iss 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -19.85% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.34% ROI
  • Arizona State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Arizona State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the Big 12

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs since the 2024 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– T-most in FBS

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech has 480 receptions in 19 games (25.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has 326 receptions in 19 games (17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech RBs averaged 10.4 Yards per Carry (311 yards/30 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

Texas Tech QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech has 480 receptions in 19 games (25.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has 326 receptions in 19 games (17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech RBs averaged 10.4 Yards per Carry (311 yards/30 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the Big 12

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs since the 2024 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– T-most in FBS

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the Big 12

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs since the 2024 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– T-most in FBS

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech has 480 receptions in 19 games (25.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has 326 receptions in 19 games (17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech RBs averaged 10.4 Yards per Carry (311 yards/30 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the Big 12

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs since the 2024 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%

Arizona State allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– T-most in FBS

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech QBs have 13 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech has 480 receptions in 19 games (25.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has 326 receptions in 19 games (17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech RBs averaged 10.4 Yards per Carry (311 yards/30 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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