Texas Tech vs Kansas St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman watches during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Arizona Friday, Sept. 13, 2024, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Texas Tech is a -7 point favorite vs. Kansas St
  • Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Texas Tech (7-1) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on Kansas State (4-4) on Nov. 1 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Kansas St vs Texas Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech-7 -11552.5 -110-300
Kansas State +7 -10552.5 -110240

Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Kansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


Bet now on Kansas St vs Texas Tech and all games with BetMGM


  • Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.12 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech is 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 66.67% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 4.24% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas St iss 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -13.86% ROI
  • Kansas State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Kansas State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .609

Texas Tech is 13-5 (.722) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .639

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Kansas State was 6-3 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Kansas State

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Kansas State was 6-3 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .609

Texas Tech is 13-5 (.722) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .639

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .609

Texas Tech is 13-5 (.722) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .639

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Kansas State was 6-3 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .609

Texas Tech is 13-5 (.722) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .639

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Kansas State was 6-3 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442


Bet now on Kansas St vs Texas Tech and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.