Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:06 PM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-3) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Stillwater.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State is total points.

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Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech
Oklahoma State

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this game with 64.3% confidence.

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts tossup will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Henry Colombi has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 61% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas Tech is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Texas Tech is winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Texas Tech is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

Texas Tech is 3-11 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423

Texas Tech is 3-11 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .397

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

#9 Oklahoma State is 9-1 (.692) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402

#9 Oklahoma State is 7-1 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .497

#9 Oklahoma State is 11-2 (.688) when rushing more than 30 times — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

#9 Oklahoma State is 5-1 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s receiving corps has 20 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among Power 5 WR corps. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 20 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s receiving corps has 11 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most among FBS WR corps. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s receiving corps have 268.5 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 187.2 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 1,597 passing yards in 4 games (399.2 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 301.8 passing yards per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,481 passing yards in 4 games (370.2 YPG) this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 301.8 passing yards per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech has been targeted 178 times this season — third-most among Power 5 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 1,141 receiving yards this season — third-most among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 1,597 passing yards in 4 games (399.2 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 301.8 passing yards per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,481 passing yards in 4 games (370.2 YPG) this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 301.8 passing yards per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech has been targeted 178 times this season — third-most among Power 5 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 1,141 receiving yards this season — third-most among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech have 370.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 285.2 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged 15.5 receptions per game (62/4) in the 2nd half this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.0

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

#7 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

#7 Oklahoma State Skill Players have fumbled 9 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

#7 Oklahoma State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/2) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.7

#7 Oklahoma State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/2) since last season– tied for lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

#7 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.5

Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (6/27) on 1st down this season– best in FBS; Average: 6%

Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (6/27) on 1st down this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%

Texas Tech has allowed 22.0 yards per completion (308 yards/14 completions) on 1st down this season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.5

Texas Tech has allowed 22.0 yards per completion (308 yards/14 completions) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.9

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 53 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

#7 Oklahoma State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 29% of PATs this season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 142 of 588 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 142 of 588 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#7 Oklahoma State has allowed first downs on 28% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.