- Texas is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Texas A&M
- Texas vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Texas Longhorns (10-1) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (8-3) on Nov. 30 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Texas vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Texas | -5.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | -225 |
Texas A&M | +5.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | +185 |
Texas vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 66.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today
- Quintrevion Wisner has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Noah Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Texas is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 0.57% ROI
- Texas is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
- Texas is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -48.33% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 4.21% ROI
- Texas A&M is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Texas A&M is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Texas is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .598
Texas is 15-1 (.938) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .526
Texas is 11-3 (.786) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Texas is 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .579
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Texas A&M is 12-1 (.923) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Texas A&M is 15-3 (.789) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Texas A&M is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .616
Texas A&M is undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 1,520 yards on 115 receptions (just 13.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Texas’s QBs has thrown for 3,046 passing yards in 11 games (276.9 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 227.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 3,076 passing yards in 11 games (279.6 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 227.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 374 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas’s QBs has thrown for 3,046 passing yards in 11 games (276.9 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 227.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 3,076 passing yards in 11 games (279.6 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 227.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Texas WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (776 yards/35 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Texas Skill Players have caught 19 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams
Texas TEs were targeted 4 times in the Red Zone last week– most among SEC Teams
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 1,520 yards on 115 receptions (just 13.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs has 26 receptions in 11 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 1,520 yards on 115 receptions (just 13.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s RBs has averaged 11.2 yards after the catch this season — 14th-best among FBS RBs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.7 RAC this season — best among FBS defenses.
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (312 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 26.0
Texas opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (312 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 20.9
Texas opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (312 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
Texas has allowed just 8.8 yards per completion (1,576 yards/180 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.7
Texas has allowed 4 touchdowns on 180 completions (45.0 Completions Per TD) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 15.6
Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 62 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.0
Texas A&M has not recorded a sack (33 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 40 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M has not recorded a sack (33 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 12.9
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