Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – MAC Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • Toledo (7-5) are -1.5 point favorites vs Ohio (9-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 55 points
  • Watch the MAC Championship game on ESPN

The Toledo Rockets (8-5) visit Ford Field to take on the Ohio Bobcats (9-4) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Detroit.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Toledo vs. Ohio Over/Under is total points.

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Toledo vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under, MAC Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo
Ohio

Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, MAC Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 54.4% confidence.

Toledo vs Ohio Spread Prediction, MAC Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 63.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Ohio, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 8 games (+9.40 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1H Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Toledo has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Toledo is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -30.46% ROI
  • Toledo is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Toledo is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio is 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 32.08% ROI
  • Ohio is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Ohio is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Toledo is 3-1 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .406

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo

Ohio is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for best in FBS; Average: .577

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

Toledo QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Toledo TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Toledo Skill Players have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Toledo WRs have 14 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Toledo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio QBs have 18 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio QBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio QBs have 60 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio WRs have 30 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Ohio Skill Players have 61 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (56 completions/131 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 54%

Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (56 completions/131 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Toledo has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 61 of 757 attempts (8%) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

Toledo has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Toledo has allowed a passer rating of just 114.3 (351.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 133.8

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has allowed 3,881 Passing Yards this season– most in FBS

Ohio has allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Ohio has allowed 299 completions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Ohio has allowed 170 first down receptions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Ohio has allowed 299 completions this season– most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.