Toledo vs Washington St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Nike logo dorns a football in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020, in Boulder, Colo. Colorado won 20-10. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Washington St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Toledo
  • Toledo vs. Washington State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Toledo (4-3) visit Gesa Field to take on Washington State (3-4) on Oct. 25 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Toledo vs. Washington State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo+1.5 -11546.5 -105-105
Washington State -1.5 -10546.5 -115-115

Toledo vs Washington State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Washington St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Toledo vs Washington State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+11.15 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Toledo is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Toledo is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -12.71% ROI
  • Toledo is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Toledo is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St iss 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Washington State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 5.49% ROI
  • Washington State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Washington State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Toledo threw for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Toledo’s WRs have 201.7 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 190.1 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 322 receptions in 20 games (16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State RBs have rushed for one TD on 139 carries this season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1

Washington State have thrown 0 TDs on 41 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 20.9

Matchup Notes for Toledo vs. Washington State

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 322 receptions in 20 games (16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State RBs have rushed for one TD on 139 carries this season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1

Washington State have thrown 0 TDs on 41 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 20.9

Toledo threw for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Toledo’s WRs have 201.7 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 190.1 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

Toledo threw for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Toledo’s WRs have 201.7 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 190.1 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 322 receptions in 20 games (16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State RBs have rushed for one TD on 139 carries this season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1

Washington State have thrown 0 TDs on 41 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 20.9

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends

Toledo threw for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

Toledo’s WRs has 299 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Toledo’s WRs have 201.7 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed just 190.1 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Washington State Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s WRs has 322 receptions in 20 games (16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 1,535 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State RBs have rushed for one TD on 139 carries this season– 2nd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1

Washington State have thrown 0 TDs on 41 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 20.9


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