Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • Toledo (7-4) are -7.5 point favorites vs Western Michigan (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

The Toledo Rockets (7-4) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (4-7) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Kalamazoo.

Toledo are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Toledo vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Western Michigan vs Toledo & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-7.5 -11052.5 -110-300
Western Michigan +7.5 -11052.5 -110+250

Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 63.8% confidence.

Toledo vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Western Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Toledo has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

  • Toledo is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -21.31% ROI
  • Toledo is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Toledo is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Michigan has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.13% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

Toledo WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Toledo TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Toledo TEs have caught 9 touchdown passes — tied for 4th-most among FBS Teams

Toledo TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — tied for 5th-most among FBS Teams

Toledo QBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan Kickers have kicked off 0.8 times per game since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Western Michigan Kickers have kicked off 1.3 times per game this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Western Michigan RBs have caught just 37 of 67 passes (55% Reception Pct) since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 74%

Western Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 1.2 yards per target (20 yards/16 targets) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

Western Michigan RBs have caught just 16 of 34 passes (47% Reception Pct) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 73%

Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

Toledo has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Toledo has allowed opponents to catch just 54 of 124 passes (43% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (22 completions/49 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 54%

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (64/590) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 17 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 164 of 788 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Western Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 94 attempts (5%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (64/590) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.