Troy vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Kansas State offensive lineman Cooper Beebe (50) during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Ames, Iowa. Kansas State won 10-9. (AP Photo/Matthew Putney)
(AP Photo/Matthew Putney)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • Kansas State is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Troy
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Troy Trojans visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Manhattan.

Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+16.5 -11051.5 -110+550
Kansas State -16.5 -11051.5 -110-800

Troy vs Kansas State Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 86.2% confidence.

Troy vs Kansas State Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+12.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Troy is 11-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 33.86% ROI
  • Troy is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Troy is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 13.53% ROI
  • Kansas State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kansas State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Troy was 9-1 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .518

Troy is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .586

Troy was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Troy was 7-2 (.778) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .448

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

#16 Kansas State is 9-4 (.562) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .347

#16 Kansas State was 6-2 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#16 Kansas State was 6-2 (.545) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .388

#16 Kansas State was 4-1 (.500) when not losing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .393

Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Kansas State

Kansas State gained 2,485 yards on 209 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 skill players. Troy’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s WRs gained 1,861 yards on 149 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 WRs. Troy’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 730 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 843 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 843 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Troy’s WRs had 209.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed just 224.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 843 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Troy Skill Players have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Troy RBs have averaged 343.0 rushing yards per game (343/1) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.9

Troy WRs caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 843 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

#16 Kansas State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Kansas State gained 2,485 yards on 209 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 skill players. Troy’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s WRs gained 1,861 yards on 149 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big 12 WRs. Troy’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 730 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

#16 Kansas State RBs have been targeted 26 times in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy opponents averaged 37.7 Passing Attempts per TD (377 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

Troy allowed 10 touchdowns on 227 completions (22.7 Completions Per TD) in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

Troy have yet to sack an opposing QBs (31 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 6%

Troy has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (67/682) since the 2021 season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Troy allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 377 attempts (6%) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#16 Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 26 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#16 Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 26 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.

#16 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 106 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

#16 Kansas State has allowed just 10.3 yards per completion (258 yards/25 completions) this season– tied for 35th-best in FBS; Average: 11.8

#16 Kansas State’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs in the 2022 season– 2nd highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.