Troy vs UTSA Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 11:21 AM
  • Troy (11-2) are -1 point favorites vs UTSA (11-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • Watch the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl game on ESPN

The UTSA Roadrunners (12-2) visit Exploria Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (11-3) on Dec. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Orlando for the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl.

are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at ().

The Troy vs. UTSA Over/Under is total points.

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Troy vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Bowl Game:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy
UTSA

Troy vs UTSA Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this bowl game with 51.3% confidence.

Troy vs UTSA Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+7.96 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.34 Units / 37% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 22.07% ROI
  • Troy is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Troy is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 26.92% ROI
  • UTSA is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • UTSA is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

#23 UTSA is 17-3 (.810) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .515

#23 UTSA is 19-3 (.792) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .517

#23 UTSA is 10-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .494

#23 UTSA is 11-1 (.846) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .571

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Troy is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .578

Troy is 8-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Troy is 11-2 (.786) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .542

Troy is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .584

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

#23 UTSA WRs have caught 31 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 27 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA WRs have caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA RBs have averaged 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (151 yards / 15 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy Skill Players have caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy QBs have averaged just -2.9 Yards per Carry (-300 yards/104 carries) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 2.7

Troy WRs have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Troy QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

#23 UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (33 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (33 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 33 of 90 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed a passer rating of just 122.0 in the Red Zone (90.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 166.1

#23 UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 33 of 90 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy opponents has averaged 37.7 Passing Attempts per TD (377 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

Troy has allowed 10 touchdowns on 227 completions (22.7 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 377 attempts (6%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Troy has allowed a passer rating of just 114.9 (377.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 133.8

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 6 of 100 attempts (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– tied for 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.