Tulane vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

• Duke Blue Devils is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Tulane Green Wave
• Tulane vs. Duke Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ACCN

Tulane (0-0) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on Duke (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Durham, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Duke Blue Devils are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. Duke Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Duke Blue Devils vs Tulane Green Wave & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Tulane vs Duke Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 68.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane Green Wave and Duke Blue Devils, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Duke Blue Devils vs Tulane Green Wave and all games with BetMGM

Tulane Best Bets Today

• Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Duke Best Bets Today

• Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Duke has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 69% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 70% ROI)

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Tulane was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Tulane was 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Tulane was 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Tulane was 6-3 (.667) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Duke was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Duke was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Duke was 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Duke was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Duke

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 passing yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 passing yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Duke’s RBs averaged 5.6 targets per game last season — T-28th-highest among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs had 206.0 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 276.8 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane QBs rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane WRs averaged 16.5 yards per reception (2,361 yards/143 catches) last season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Tulane’s WRs had 206.0 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Duke’s defense allowed 276.8 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 passing yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Duke threw 5.7 Passing TDs per Interception (34 passing TDs/6 interceptions) last season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0

Duke threw one interception on 146 attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 8th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 passing yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Duke QBs fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest in FBS; Average: 8%

Tulane allowed 54 receptions for 20+ yards last season– 3rd-most in FBS

Tulane allowed 323 completions last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 37 passes (43% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke defense allowed 57 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Duke had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.9

Duke allowed 57 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Duke allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (11 completions/11 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Duke allowed 3,875 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

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