Tulane vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Southern Miss head coach Will Hall watches his team during an NCAA football game against Liberty on Friday, Sept. 3, 2022, in Hattiesburg, Miss. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)

(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:14 AM

Tulane is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Southern Miss
Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
Watch the game on ESPNU

The Tulane Green Wave visit M.M. Roberts Stadium to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Hattiesburg.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Tulane vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Tulane	-11.5 -110	49.5 -110	-500
Southern Miss	+11.5 -110	49.5 -110	+375

Tulane vs Southern Miss Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 80.3% confidence.

Tulane vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 63.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and Southern Miss, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

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Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Tulane has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+10.10 Units / 93% ROI)

Tulane have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)

Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Southern Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Tulane is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Tulane is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tulane is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Southern Miss is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 32.72% ROI
Southern Miss is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Southern Miss is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss

#24 Tulane is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .414

#24 Tulane was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .561

#24 Tulane is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .562

#24 Tulane is 9-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Southern Miss

Southern Miss’s WRs has gained 2,312 yards on 142 receptions (16.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Southern Miss has gained 2,976 yards on 214 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 12th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Southern Miss’s WRs has gained 2,312 yards on 142 receptions (16.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 11.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.2% of 52 attempts this season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane has gained 525 yards on 29 receptions (18.1 YPR) this season — third-best among FBS skill players. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs have 244.0 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 146.0 receiving yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane TEs have fumbled 4 times since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 108 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2021 season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.2

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (30/162) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss Skill Players have fumbled 8 times in close and late situations since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 Tulane tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 55 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#24 Tulane tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 438 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#24 Tulane tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 438 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

#24 Tulane allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 22 of 336 attempts (7%) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

#24 Tulane allowed just 10.7 yards per completion (2,118 yards/198 completions) in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for most in FBS

Southern Miss allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most in FBS

Southern Miss has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

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