Tulane vs UL Lafayette Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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Louisiana head coach Michael Desormeaux walks the field before an NCAA college football game against Florida State on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Tallahassee, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:42 PM
  • Tulane is a -3 point favorite vs. UL Lafayette
  • Tulane vs. Louisiana Total(Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Tulane Green Wave (1-2) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (2-0) on Sep. 21 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Tulane vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Tulane & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane-3 -11554.5 -110-155
Louisiana +3 -10554.5 -110+125

Tulane vs Louisiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on UL Lafayette vs Tulane and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Bets Today

  • Makhi Hughes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Chandler Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chandler Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Robert Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).

  • Tulane is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Tulane is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
  • Tulane is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Lafayette is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI).

  • Louisiana is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 15.75% ROI
  • Louisiana is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Louisiana is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

Tulane is undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403

Tulane is undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418

Tulane is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407

Tulane is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .416

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Louisiana is winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

Louisiana is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .511

Louisiana is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .291

Louisiana is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .496

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Louisiana

Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s WRs have 225.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 149.0 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s TEs has 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-best among FBS TEs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s TEs has 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-best among FBS TEs. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane has 47 receptions in 3 games (just 15.7 per game) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 13.0 receptions per game this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s WRs have 225.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 149.0 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana RBs have been targeted 1.9 times per game (29/15) since the 2023 season– 4th-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.1

Louisiana TEs have 35 receptions in close and late situations since the 2022 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Tulane sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 5th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 6 of 147 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Tulane has allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (51 completions/83 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Tulane has allowed just 10.4 yards per completion (6,227 yards/599 completions) since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana has allowed no passing TDs (41 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

Louisiana has allowed no passing TDs (41 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 23.7

Louisiana has not allowed any touchdowns on 26 completions this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3

Louisiana has not forced a fumble (57 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.1

Louisiana has sacked opponents 14 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.