Tulane vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:25 PM

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Tulane is a -3.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
Tulane vs. UTSA Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

Tulane (6-1) visit Alamodome to take on UTSA (3-4) on Oct. 30 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Tulane vs. UTSA Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Tulane vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Tulane	-3.5 -115	55.5 -110	-190
UTSA	+3.5 -105	55.5 -110	160

Tulane vs UTSA Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and UTSA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs UTSA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tulane Best Bets Today

Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)

UTSA Best Bets Today

UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
UTSA have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).

Tulane is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 22.88% ROI
Tulane is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI
Tulane is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

UTSA is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -13.71% ROI
UTSA is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
UTSA is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 103 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 47 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 103 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

UTSA TEs were targeted 52 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA TEs averaged 6.9 receptions per game (90/13) last season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

UTSA’s TEs has 121 receptions in 20 games (6.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS TEs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 2.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (1,281 yards/181 carries) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. UTSA