- Arkansas St is a -7 point favorite vs. Tulsa
- Tulsa vs. Arkansas State Total(Over/Under): 65.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-0) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Jonesboro, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Arkansas St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The Tulsa vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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Tulsa vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tulsa | +7 -105 | 65.5 -110 | + |
| Arkansas State | -7 -115 | 65.5 -110 | + |
Tulsa vs Arkansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Tulsa vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and Arkansas St and key player performances this season.
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Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tulsa is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Tulsa is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Tulsa is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 21.98% ROI
- Arkansas State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI
- Arkansas State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -100% ROI
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Tulsa is winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Tulsa was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .450
Tulsa was 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Tulsa was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
Arkansas State is winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330
Arkansas State is 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Arkansas State is winless (0-12) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Arkansas State is winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. Arkansas State
Arkansas State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 340 attempts last season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State gained 2,609 yards on 192 receptions (13.6 YPR) last season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s RBs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense allowed just 11.1 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 309 attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense allowed just 5.9 RAC to RBs last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa’s RBs averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense allowed just 11.1 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 309 attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas State’s defense allowed just 5.9 RAC to RBs last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa RBs have averaged 10.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (201 yards / 20 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since the 2022 season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Tulsa had 175 receptions in 11 games (just 15.9 per game) last season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 22.6 receptions per game last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 340 attempts last season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State gained 2,609 yards on 192 receptions (13.6 YPR) last season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State WRs averaged 17.3 yards per reception (2,399 yards/139 catches) in the 2023 season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Arkansas State RBs have averaged just 3.8 Yards per Carry (605 yards/158 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Arkansas State Skill Players averaged 18.7 yards per reception (561 yards/30 catches) in close and late situations in the 2023 season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 48 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Tulsa has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Tulsa has no interceptions (88 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4
Tulsa has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Tulsa allowed passes of 20+ yards on 9 of 48 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (44 completions/57 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Arkansas State allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (44 completions/57 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Arkansas State allowed opponents to catch 44 of 57 passes (77% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (11 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Arkansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (75 completions/114 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
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