Tulsa vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 5:30 PM
  • Memphis (4-5) are -6.5 point favorites vs Tulsa (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7) visit Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (6-5) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Memphis.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Tulsa vs. Memphis is total points.

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Tulsa vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Tulsa
Memphis

Tulsa vs Memphis Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 60.7% confidence.

Tulsa vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Brandon Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

 

 

  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tulsa have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

 

 

  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.68 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)

 

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulsa is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -40.44% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Memphis is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -4.32% ROI
  • Memphis is 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • Memphis is 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. Memphis

Tulsa’s RBs has 29 receptions in 21 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 29 receptions in 21 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 9 receptions in 8 games (just 1.1 per game) this season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa WRs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs have 37 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Tulsa Skill Players have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

Tulsa’s RBs has 29 receptions in 21 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa WRs have 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Memphis Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (476 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Memphis RBs have averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (447 yards / 54 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Memphis WRs have averaged 17.9 yards per reception (1,019 yards/57 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has allowed opponents to catch just 20 of 45 passes (44% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Tulsa has allowed 185.8 Passing Yards per game (1,486/8) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 242.4

Tulsa has allowed 216.1 rushing yards per game (1,729/8) this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 156.6

Tulsa has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 47 carries (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18%

Tulsa has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 47 carries (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 17%

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs this season– 4th highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Memphis has allowed 8 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 136 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs this season– 2nd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 11% of PATs since last season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.