Tulsa vs Sam Houston State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • Tulsa Golden Hurricane is a -14 point favorite vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats
  • Tulsa vs. Sam Houston State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Tulsa (1-0) visit Elliott T. Bowers Stadium to take on Sam Houston State (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Huntsville, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -14 (-105).

The Tulsa vs. Sam Houston State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulsa vs. Sam Houston State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulsa-14 -10551.5 -112-550
Sam Houston State +14 -11251.5 -105+425

Tulsa vs Sam Houston State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulsa will win this game with 73.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and the Sam Houston State Bearkats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulsa vs Sam Houston State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tulsa have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa Golden Hurricane is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 410% ROI
  • Tulsa is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • Tulsa is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI

Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sam Houston State Bearkats is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State

Tulsa was winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Tulsa was 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Tulsa was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Tulsa was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372

Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Sam Houston was 8-1 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Sam Houston was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Sam Houston was 6-1 (.857) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. Sam Houston State

Sam Houston had just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s RBs had 37.4 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense allowed just 18.5 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 51 receptions in 13 games (3.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 45 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9

Tulsa RBs were targeted 32 times on 3rd down last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa RBs averaged 149.8 rushing yards per game (1,798/12) last season– 28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 123.3

Tulsa averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (503 yards/52 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– T-17th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Tulsa Skill Players averaged just 10.0 yards per reception (311 yards/31 catches) on 3rd and long last season– T-19th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Sam Houston had just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston QBs fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Sam Houston’s WRs has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston did not pick up any first downs on any of their 36 rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18%

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most in FBS

Tulsa had no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Tulsa allowed 316.0 receiving yards per game (3,792/12) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 219.2

Tulsa did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Sam Houston allowed 56 receptions for 20+ yards last season– 2nd-most in FBS

Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Sam Houston allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,301 yards/229 completions) last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0


Bet now on Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane and all games with BetMGM


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