UAB vs Connecticut Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:27 PM

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Connecticut head coach Jim Mora watches before an NCAA college football game against Michigan in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Connecticut is a -11.5 point favorite vs. UAB
UAB vs. Connecticut Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

UAB (3-4) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on Connecticut (5-3) on Nov. 1 in East Hartford, CT. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The UAB vs. Connecticut Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UAB	+11.5 -105	64.5 -115	350
Connecticut	-11.5 -115	64.5 -105	-450

UAB vs Connecticut Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Connecticut, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Connecticut Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UAB Best Bets Today

UAB has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Connecticut Best Bets Today

Connecticut has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.60 Units / 11% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

UAB is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 42.06% ROI
UAB is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
UAB is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn was 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .604

UConn is 10-6 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

UConn is 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .391

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 26 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 115 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Connecticut