UAB vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 10, 2025, 11:25 AM

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Florida Atlantic is a -4.5 point favorite vs. UAB
UAB vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 69.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

UAB (2-3) visit Flagler Credit Union Stadium to take on Florida Atlantic (2-3) on Oct. 11 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Florida Atlantic is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The UAB vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 69.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UAB	+4.5 -105	69.5 -115	170
Florida Atlantic	-4.5 -115	69.5 -105	-210

UAB vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UAB Best Bets Today

UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today

Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.42 Units / 24% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

UAB is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
UAB is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
UAB is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic iss 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Florida Atlantic is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -1.84% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Florida Atlantic did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida Atlantic has allowed 14.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (252 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Florida Atlantic has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Florida Atlantic has no interceptions (142 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 40.1

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 22.2 receptions per game (111/5) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged 30.6 receptions per game (153/5) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.4

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.2 RAC this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s WRs have 259.6 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed 180.8 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic have thrown 3 TDs on 166 pass attempts (one TD every 55.3 Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Florida Atlantic