- Illinois Fighting Illini is a -27.5 point favorite vs. UAB Blazers
- UAB vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
UAB (0-0) visit Gies Memorial Stadium to take on Illinois (0-0) on Sep. 3 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Illinois Fighting Illini are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-108).
The UAB vs. Illinois Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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UAB vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UAB | +27.5 -110 | 54.5 -108 | +1900 |
| Illinois | -27.5 -108 | 54.5 -110 | -5000 |
UAB vs Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 96.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB Blazers and Illinois Fighting Illini, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UAB vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UAB Best Bets Today
- UAB has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+8.55 Units / 140% ROI)
- UAB has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- UAB has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets Today
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
UAB was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. UAB
Illinois was 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Illinois was 6-1 (.857) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Illinois was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Illinois
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense allowed 15.2 RAC last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense allowed 15.2 RAC last season — worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. UAB’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
UAB’s QBs threw for 2,952 passing yards in 11 games (268.4 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense allowed 218.4 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UAB’s offense threw for 2,969 passing yards in 11 games (269.9 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 218.4 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UAB’s WRs averaged 23.1 targets per game last season — 33rd-highest among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UAB Offensive Stats & Trends
UAB’s QBs threw for 2,952 passing yards in 11 games (268.4 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense allowed 218.4 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UAB’s offense threw for 2,969 passing yards in 11 games (269.9 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 218.4 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UAB threw one TD on 115 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 5th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
UAB’s WRs averaged 23.1 targets per game last season — 33rd-highest among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UAB RBs averaged 16.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.6
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense allowed 15.2 RAC last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Illinois’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense allowed 15.2 RAC last season — worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. UAB’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Illinois RBs rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
UAB Defensive Stats & Trends
UAB allowed 15.2 yards per completion (2,520 yards/166 completions) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
UAB allowed 15.2 yards per completion (2,520 yards/166 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.5
UAB allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 255 attempts (5%) last season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
UAB allowed 5.8 touchdowns per interception (23 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
UAB allowed 9.9 Yards per Attempt (2,520 yards/255 attempts) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 7.1
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 36 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Illinois had no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.7
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Illinois allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 26 of 429 attempts (6%) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%
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