UAB vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns are a -7.5 point favorite vs. the UAB Blazers
• UAB vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

UAB (1-1) visit Cajun Field at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium to take on Louisiana (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The UAB vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UAB vs Louisiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UAB Blazers and the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UAB Best Bets Today

• UAB has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• UAB has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Louisiana Best Bets Today

• Louisiana has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB Blazers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• UAB is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• UAB is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• UAB is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Louisiana is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Louisiana is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Louisiana is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

UAB was 2-9 (.182) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Louisiana was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Louisiana was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Louisiana was 9-3 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Louisiana was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Louisiana

Louisiana’s WRs had just 111.2 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense allowed 191.5 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s WRs had 106 receptions in 13 games (just 8.2 per game) last season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs had 27 receptions in 13 games (just 2.1 per game) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB RBs averaged 16.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.6

UAB threw one TD on 115 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 5th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9

UAB QBs had 17 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

UAB gained 40+ yards on 1 of their 8 receptions (12%) last week– T-11th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

UAB threw 0 TDs on 45 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana WRs had no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Louisiana RBs averaged 5.7 Yards per Carry (2,055 yards/363 carries) last season– T-22nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Louisiana’s WRs had just 111.2 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense allowed 191.5 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana TEs had 50 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– most among FBS Teams

Louisiana’s WRs had 106 receptions in 13 games (just 8.2 per game) last season — 16th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense allowed just 15.1 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB allowed 15.2 yards per completion (2,520 yards/166 completions) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

UAB allowed 15.2 yards per completion (2,520 yards/166 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.5

UAB allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 255 attempts (5%) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

UAB allowed passes of 40+ yards on 13 of 255 attempts (5%) last season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 463 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most in FBS

Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most in FBS

Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

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