UAB vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • LSU (8-2) are -14.5 point favorites vs UAB (5-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

The UAB Blazers (5-6) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (9-2) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UAB vs. LSU is total points.

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UAB vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB
LSU

UAB vs LSU Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 67.5% confidence.

UAB vs LSU Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 72.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 away games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.72 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+14.70 Units / 66% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UAB is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -16.2% ROI
  • UAB is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • UAB is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • LSU is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 44.49% ROI
  • LSU is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • LSU is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

UAB is winless (0-3) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

UAB is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .617

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

#25 LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

#25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. LSU

UAB’s RBs has 45 rushing touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among FBS RBs. LSU’s defense has allowed 29 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among SEC defenses.

UAB’s RBs has rushed for 4,526 yards on 738 carries (6.1 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS RBs. LSU’s defense have allowed just 4.0 YPC since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among SEC defenses.

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB RBs have rushed for 10 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have rushed for 18 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have averaged 223.4 rushing yards per game (2,234/10) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.8

UAB RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have averaged 6.1 Yards per Carry (4,526 yards/738 carries) since last season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 LSU have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (35/283) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

#6 LSU QBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#6 LSU QBs have rushed for 286 yards on 1st down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#6 LSU WRs have averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (118 yards/13 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.6

#6 LSU QBs have rushed for 141 yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

UAB has allowed a passer rating of 207.1 in the Red Zone (66.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 51 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 41 of 362 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UAB has allowed a passer rating of just 113.9 (304.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 134.4

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 LSU has allowed a passer rating of just 84.4 in the Red Zone (27.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 163.6

#6 LSU opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

#6 LSU has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 LSU opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#6 LSU has allowed first downs on 38% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 22%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.