UAB vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 9:00 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The UAB Blazers (4-4) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-4) on Oct. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Bowling Green.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UAB vs. Western Kentucky is total points.

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UAB vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB
Western Kentucky

UAB vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 51.9% confidence.

UAB vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Western Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 8 away games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.12 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    UAB has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • UAB is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • UAB is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • UAB is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Western Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Western Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Western Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Western Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

    UAB is winless (0-3) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

    UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

    UAB RBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

    UAB RBs have averaged 222.8 rushing yards per game (1,337/6) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.7

    UAB have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (5/15) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

    UAB RBs have rushed for 16 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    UAB WRs have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (1,654 yards/92 catches) in the 1st half since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

    Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

    Western Kentucky Skill Players have averaged 33.4 receptions per game (635/19) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

    Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 28.6 receptions per game (544/19) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

    Western Kentucky WRs have been targeted 40.3 times per game (766/19) since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

    Western Kentucky WRs have averaged 26.0 receptions per game (130/5) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

    Western Kentucky has averaged 406.1 Passing Yards per game (7,715/19) since last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 236.3*

    UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

    UAB opponents has averaged 48.2 Passing Attempts per TD (193 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.6

    UAB has allowed 4 touchdowns on 105 completions (26.2 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

    UAB has allowed a passer rating of just 99.0 (193.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 137.1

    UAB has allowed a passer rating of just 99.0 (193.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 131.5

    UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends

    Western Kentucky has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most in FBS

    Western Kentucky has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– most in FBS

    Western Kentucky has 28 interceptions since last season– 2nd most in FBS

    Western Kentucky’s opponents has attempted 44.4 passes per game this season– 3rd highest in FBS; Average: 31.8

    Western Kentucky has 28 interceptions since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams


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