- Pittsburgh Panthers is a -7 point favorite vs. UCF Knights
- UCF vs. Pittsburgh Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
UCF (1-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on Pittsburgh (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Pittsburgh Panthers are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The UCF vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
Bet now on Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCF Knights & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
UCF vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +7 -112 | 56.5 -105 | +220 |
| Pittsburgh | -7 -105 | 56.5 -112 | -275 |
UCF vs Pittsburgh Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 62.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UCF Knights and the Pittsburgh Panthers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCF Knights and all games with BetMGM
UCF Best Bets Today
- UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Pittsburgh Best Bets Today
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCF Knights is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- UCF is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- UCF is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- UCF is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pittsburgh Panthers is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 12.5% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh
UCF was winless (0-5) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422
UCF was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414
UCF was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
UCF was winless (0-5) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Pittsburgh was 6-4 (.600) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Pittsburgh was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450
Pittsburgh was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Pittsburgh was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Matchup Notes for UCF vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s TEs had 65 receptions in 12 games (5.4 per game) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20.8 receptions per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs had just 0.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among Big 12 WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.
UCF had just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF WRs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
UCF WRs averaged a touchdown every 35.2 receptions (141 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
UCF WRs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
UCF Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 22.6 receptions (249 Rec/11 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
UCF WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (478 yards/55 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh WRs caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh RBs averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (832 yards / 104 touches) on 2nd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs gained 2,319 yards on 161 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. UCF’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (107 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4
UCF allowed opponents to catch 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%
UCF did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
UCF allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (33 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
UCF allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 55 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%
Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 77 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Pittsburgh allowed 28 TD passes last season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 101 of 476 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Bet now on Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCF Knights and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
