UCLA vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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San Diego State tight end Mark Redman (81) against Boise State in the second half of an NCAA college football game, Friday, Sept. 30, 2022, in Boise, Idaho. Boise State won 35-13.
(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:08 PM
  • UCLA is a -14.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The UCLA Bruins visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in San Diego.

UCLA is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The UCLA vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

Bet now on San Diego State vs UCLA & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UCLA vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCLA-14.5 -11048.5 -105-650
San Diego State +14.5 -11048.5 -115+450

UCLA vs San Diego State Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 85.9% confidence.

UCLA vs San Diego State Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • UCLA is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 13.7% ROI
  • UCLA is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • UCLA is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • San Diego State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
  • San Diego State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • San Diego State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

UCLA is 12-5 (.500) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

UCLA is 12-6 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

UCLA is 10-3 (.526) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

UCLA is 7-2 (.583) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

San Diego State is 11-2 (.786) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .505

San Diego State is 12-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .586

San Diego State is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .444

San Diego State is 18-3 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. San Diego State

San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,518 passing yards in 13 games (just 193.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense allowed 289.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,518 passing yards in 13 games (just 193.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense allowed 289.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

San Diego State’s RBs averaged 11.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for best among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 1,163 yards on 80 receptions (14.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 10.4 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 1,163 yards on 80 receptions (14.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA RBs have averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (269 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

UCLA WRs averaged 25.0 yards per reception (200 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.5

UCLA’s TEs has gained 1,163 yards on 80 receptions (14.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Punters have punted 1.0 times per game since the 2021 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

UCLA Punters placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/1) in the 2022 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,518 passing yards in 13 games (just 193.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense allowed 289.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,518 passing yards in 13 games (just 193.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense allowed 289.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

San Diego State’s RBs averaged 11.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for best among Pac-12 defenses.

San Diego State’s QBs has thrown for 5,327 passing yards in 29 games (just 183.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 284.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,518 passing yards in 13 games (just 193.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense allowed 289.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has allowed 47.3 receiving yards per game (1,088/23) to RBs since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

UCLA has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

UCLA allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 1 of their 363 carries (0%) in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 34 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UCLA allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (30 completions/45 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has 6 interceptions this season– most in FBS

San Diego State has 6 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

San Diego State has allowed 56 completions this season– most in FBS

San Diego State has allowed 28 first down receptions this season– 2nd-most in FBS

San Diego State has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (6/2) this season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85


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