UL Monroe vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Georgia State (4-5) are -13.5 point favorites vs UL Monroe (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-7) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (4-7) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UL Monroe vs. Georgia State is total points.

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UL Monroe vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UL Monroe
Georgia State

UL Monroe vs Georgia State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 64% confidence.

UL Monroe vs Georgia State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UL Monroe will cover the spread with 53% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Monroe and Georgia State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


    • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 58% ROI)
    • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
    • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
    • UL – Monroe have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
    • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
    • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
    • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
    • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
    • Georgia State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
    • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.89 Units / 62% ROI)

    UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    UL Monroe has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • UL Monroe is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -27.97% ROI
    • UL Monroe is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
    • UL Monroe is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

    Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Georgia State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Georgia State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 19.34% ROI
    • Georgia State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
    • Georgia State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

    UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

    Louisiana-Monroe is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .367

    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

    Louisiana-Monroe is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .437

    Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

    Georgia State is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 15th-best in FBS; Average: .552

    Georgia State is 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .578

    Matchup Notes for UL Monroe vs. Georgia State

    Georgia State’s RBs have just 2.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 270.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among NonP5 defenses.

    UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (1,382 yards/378 carries) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (438 yards / 129 touches) on 2nd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

    Louisiana-Monroe WRs have no touchdowns on 31 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,614 yards / 421 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

    Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (542 yards/180 carries) in the 1st half since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

    Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

    Georgia State RBs have been targeted 0.6 times per game (14/22) since last season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

    Georgia State RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Georgia State Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Georgia State QBs have rushed for 509 yards in the 1st quarter since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Georgia State Kickers have kicked off 0.0 times per game this season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

    Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a passer rating of 229.6 in the Red Zone (62.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 168.1

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to catch 45 of 63 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (63 completions/92 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (44 completions/62 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

    Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 4.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (820 yards / 173 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3.6

    Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

    Georgia State has forced 4 fumbles on 361 carries (90.2 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.6

    Georgia State has 12 interceptions this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

    Georgia State has allowed a passer rating of just 65.7 in close and late situations (35.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 123.8

    Georgia State has allowed a passer rating of just 65.7 in close and late situations (35.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 126.2

    Georgia State has averaged 1.33 interceptions per game (12/9) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.83


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