UL Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

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Balls lie on the field before an NCAA college football game between Mississippi and Vanderbilt on Thursday, Aug. 29, 2013, in Nashville, Tenn.

(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)

Southern Miss is a -11.5 point favorite vs. UL Monroe
UL Monroe vs. Southern Mississippi Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

UL Monroe (3-4) visit M.M. Roberts Stadium to take on Southern Mississippi (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Hattiesburg, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Southern Miss is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The UL Monroe vs. Southern Mississippi Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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UL Monroe vs. Southern Mississippi Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UL Monroe	+11.5 -115	50.5 -110	350
Southern Mississippi	-11.5 -105	50.5 -110	-450

UL Monroe vs Southern Mississippi Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 78.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Monroe and Southern Miss, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UL Monroe vs Southern Mississippi Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UL Monroe Best Bets Today

UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
UL Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 62% ROI)
UL – Monroe have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Southern Mississippi Best Bets Today

Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Southern Miss have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Southern Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+3.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

UL Monroe is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -11.5% ROI
UL Monroe is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
UL Monroe is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 38 carries (9.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (22 completions/49 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Southern Miss was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Southern Miss was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Southern Miss was winless (0-11) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Southern Miss was winless (0-8) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Matchup Notes for UL Monroe vs. Southern Mississippi