UL Monroe vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • Troy (8-2) are -15.5 point favorites vs UL Monroe (4-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-7) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (9-2) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Troy.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UL Monroe vs. Troy is total points.

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UL Monroe vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UL Monroe
Troy

UL Monroe vs Troy Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 59% confidence.

UL Monroe vs Troy Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 53% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Monroe and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+13.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.54 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+4.96 Units / 22% ROI)

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UL Monroe is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 25.77% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 31.34% ROI
  • Troy is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Troy is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-19 (.050) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .402

Louisiana-Monroe is 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .367

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-13 (.067) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .404

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Troy is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .367

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players have averaged just 2.8 yards per reception (28 yards/10 catches) in close and late situations this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (1,434 yards/397 carries) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 68.3 rushing yards per game (1,434/21) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 132.2

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,676 yards / 442 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Louisiana-Monroe WRs have no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (69 completions/100 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a passer rating of 227.8 in the Red Zone (64.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 164.3

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 22 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for most in FBS

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy opponents has averaged 34.7 Passing Attempts per TD (312 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.1

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 19 of 312 attempts (6%) this season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Troy has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (43 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Troy has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (43 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Troy has allowed 6.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (7,184 yards / 1,192 touches) since last season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.