UNLV vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • UNLV (4-6) are -11 point favorites vs Hawaii (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • Watch the game on Spectrum Sports

The UNLV Rebels (4-7) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the Hawai’i Warriors (3-8) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Honolulu.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for UNLV vs. Hawaii is total points.

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UNLV vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV
Hawaii

UNLV vs Hawaii Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 64.0% confidence.

UNLV vs Hawaii Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Hawaii, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+10.62 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UNLV is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -20.48% ROI
  • UNLV is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UNLV is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hawaii has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Hawaii is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -64.38% ROI
  • Hawaii is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Hawaii is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii

UNLV is winless (0-13) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .424

UNLV is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .436

UNLV is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

UNLV is 1-16 (.059) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .289

UNLV WRs have no touchdowns on 16 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 6.6 yards per reception (73 yards/11 catches) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

UNLV WRs have caught just 5 of 20 passes (25% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 54%

UNLV Skill Players have just one touchdown on 60 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

UNLV Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (292 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (42 Rec/10 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Hawai’i Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (18 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 5.6 times per game (124/22) in the 2nd half since last season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Hawai’i RBs have 25 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 11.7 times per game (257/22) since last season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV opponents has averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

UNLV has allowed a passer rating of just 108.9 in the Red Zone (30.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

UNLV has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 8 of 557 attempts (1%) since last season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (48 completions/68 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 59%

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (375 completions/557 attempts) since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Hawai’i Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (35 completions/81 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 86% (24 completions/28 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 86% (24 completions/28 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Hawai’i has allowed opponents to catch just 35 of 81 passes (43% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has forced 31 fumbles since last season– tied for 5th most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.