UNLV vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Michigan running back Blake Corum (2) runs against Penn State in the first half of an NCAA college football game in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • Michigan is a -36.5 point favorite vs. UNLV
  • Total (Over/Under): 57 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The UNLV Rebels visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Ann Arbor.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -36.5 (-110).

The UNLV vs. Michigan Over/Under is 57 total points.

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UNLV vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV+36.5 -11057 -110+
Michigan -36.5 -11057 -110+

UNLV vs Michigan Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

UNLV vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Receptions Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • UNLV is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.39% ROI
  • UNLV is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • UNLV is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.05 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Michigan is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 9.12% ROI
  • Michigan is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Michigan is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

UNLV is 1-14 (.067) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

UNLV is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

UNLV is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

UNLV is 4-9 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .521

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

#2 Michigan is 12-2 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#2 Michigan is 25-1 (.962) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .550

#2 Michigan is 17-3 (.850) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .421

#2 Michigan is 23-3 (.885) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Michigan

Michigan’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 369 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense allowed just 4.4 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 5,612 yards on 982 carries (5.7 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for 11th-best among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 5,130 passing yards in 25 games (just 205.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 212.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 5,613 passing yards in 25 games (just 224.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 212.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 5,130 passing yards in 25 games (just 205.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 212.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 5,613 passing yards in 25 games (just 224.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 212.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

UNLV’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 5.6 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

#2 Michigan RBs have averaged 13.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (421 yards / 31 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#2 Michigan RBs averaged 216.1 rushing yards per game (2,377/11) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8

#2 Michigan RBs have rushed for 59 TDs since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams

#2 Michigan RBs have averaged 197.3 rushing yards per game (4,933/25) since the 2021 season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.5

Michigan’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 369 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV opponents has averaged 5.6 Passing Attempts per TD (89 Pass Attempts/16 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

UNLV opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

UNLV allowed just 11.7 receiving yards per game (117/10) to RBs in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 25.8

UNLV has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 40 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– tied for 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

UNLV has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 10 of 629 attempts (2%) since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Michigan opponents averaged 48.9 Passing Attempts per TD (342 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.7

#2 Michigan allowed 3 rushing TDs on 30 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#2 Michigan has allowed 10 rushing TDs on 82 carries (8.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#2 Michigan did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

#2 Michigan allowed a passer rating of just 101.8 (342.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 130.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.