- UNLV Rebels is a -3.5 point favorite vs. North Texas Mean Green
- UNLV vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
UNLV (1-1) visit DATCU Stadium to take on North Texas (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:45 pm.
The UNLV Rebels are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-108).
The UNLV vs. North Texas Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UNLV vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UNLV | -3.5 -108 | 57.5 -112 | -185 |
| North Texas | +3.5 -110 | 57.5 -105 | +150 |
UNLV vs North Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UNLV Rebels and the North Texas Mean Green, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UNLV vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on North Texas Mean Green vs UNLV Rebels and all games with BetMGM
UNLV Best Bets Today
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets Today
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV Rebels is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UNLV is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -28.13% ROI
- UNLV is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- UNLV is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas Mean Green is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- North Texas is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- North Texas is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- North Texas is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
UNLV was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .624
UNLV was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .668
UNLV was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
UNLV was 8-1 (.889) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
North Texas was 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420
North Texas is 18-6 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .631
North Texas is 11-3 (.786) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .593
North Texas is 14-2 (.875) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. North Texas
North Texas’s WRs gained 3,623 yards on 248 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s WRs gained 3,623 yards on 248 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas gained 4,452 yards on 323 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs gained 2,723 yards on 190 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 423 attempts last season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
UNLV’s WRs had 194.5 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 166.2 receiving yards per game last season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV’s WRs gained 2,723 yards on 190 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 423 attempts last season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
UNLV’s WRs had 194.5 receiving yards per game last season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 166.2 receiving yards per game last season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV QBs fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
UNLV’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 423 attempts last season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas Skill Players had 19 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas RBs rushed for 15 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas’s WRs gained 3,623 yards on 248 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas threw for 11 TDs in the 3rd quarter last season– 2nd-most among FBS Offenses
UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV allowed 53.1 receiving yards per game (743/14) to RBs last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1
UNLV allowed passes of 20+ yards on 67 of 398 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%
UNLV allowed 67 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2023 season– most in FBS
UNLV defense allowed 67 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– most in FBS
UNLV allowed passes of 40+ yards on 21 of 398 attempts (5%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
North Texas tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 109 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
North Texas forced 16 fumbles last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
North Texas allowed 166.2 Passing Yards per game (2,327/14) last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 217.1
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