- UNLV is a -7.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
- UNLV vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The UNLV Rebels (8-2) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (6-4) on Nov. 22 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The UNLV vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
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UNLV vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
UNLV | -7.5 -110 | 62.5 -115 | -300 |
San Jose State | +7.5 -110 | 62.5 -105 | +240 |
UNLV vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UNLV vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on San Jose St vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+7.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Bets Today
- Ricky White III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UNLV is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 15.01% ROI
- UNLV is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- UNLV is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- San Jose State is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 9.69% ROI
- San Jose State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- San Jose State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
UNLV is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .550
UNLV is 8-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .523
UNLV is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .540
UNLV is 15-7 (.682) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .580
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
San Jose State is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .550
San Jose State is 12-10 (.545) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .445
San Jose State is 10-9 (.526) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .428
San Jose State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .352
Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. San Jose State
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 10 games (340.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,444 passing yards in 10 games (344.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s WRs has averaged 33.3 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV has 134 receptions in 10 games (just 13.4 per game) this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s RBs have just 8.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 18.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s RBs has 12 receptions in 10 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV has 134 receptions in 10 games (just 13.4 per game) this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV WRs averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
UNLV RBs have rushed for 5 TDs on 50 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UNLV QBs have averaged 47.2 rushing yards per game (472/10) in the 2nd half this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
UNLV WRs had no touchdowns on 18 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,180 yards / 152 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
San Jose State WRs had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams
San Jose State QBs had 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams
San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,402 passing yards in 10 games (340.2 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. UNLV’s defense has allowed 260.5 passing yards per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (980 yards/137 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV defense has allowed 102 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
UNLV’s opponents has attempted 39.1 passes per game this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.1
UNLV has allowed 102 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (32 completions/72 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
UNLV allowed passes of 20+ yards on 67 of 398 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 61 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 144 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
San Jose State has averaged 1.60 interceptions per game (16/10) this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85
San Jose State has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 15 carries on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
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