USC vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 26, 2022, 3:02 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The USC Trojans (7-1) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tucson.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for USC vs. Arizona is total points.

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USC vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
USC
Arizona

USC vs Arizona Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 73.3% confidence.

USC vs Arizona Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 64.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Arizona, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best USC Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • USC is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arizona is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arizona is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

#12 USC is 5-2 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .435

#12 USC is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

#6 USC is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493

#6 USC is 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Arizona is winless (0-12) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Arizona is winless (0-14) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Arizona is winless (0-12) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Arizona is winless (0-8) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Matchup Notes for USC vs. Arizona

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 2,439 passing yards in 7 games (348.4 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.3 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has been targeted 39 times this season — fifth-most among Pac-12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed 1,418 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona have 329.9 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 202.6 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s TEs has 10 receptions in 7 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — tied for worst among Pac-12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 25.4 receptions per game this season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

USC’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC has gained 5,845 yards on 484 receptions (12.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 USC QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

USC’s TEs has 10 receptions in 7 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — tied for worst among Pac-12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 25.4 receptions per game this season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

USC’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC has gained 5,845 yards on 484 receptions (12.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s WRs has gained 1,896 yards on 128 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — second-best among Pac-12 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona have gone for two on 17% of PATs since last season– highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

Arizona’s QBs has thrown for 2,439 passing yards in 7 games (348.4 YPG) this season — fifth-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 217.3 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has been targeted 39 times this season — fifth-most among Pac-12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed 1,418 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona have 329.9 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 202.6 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has 40 receptions in 19 games (just 2.1 per game) since the 2021 season — second-worst among Pac-12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 19.0 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 USC has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (24/201) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#12 USC has sacked opponents 24 times this season– tied for most in FBS

#12 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 25 of 101 carries (25%) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%

#12 USC has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

#12 USC has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (36 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona has allowed a passer rating of 254.3 in the Red Zone (55.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 159.9

Arizona has allowed a passer rating of 254.3 in the Red Zone (55.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 164.1

Arizona has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.3

Arizona has allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (36 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 1.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.