USC vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
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The USC Trojans (6-1) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (5-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for USC vs. Utah is total points.

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USC vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
USC
Utah

USC vs Utah Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 58.0% confidence.

USC vs Utah Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and Utah, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best USC Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Kedon Slovis has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.80 Units / 76% ROI)

Travis Dye has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Travis Dye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.10 Units / 90% ROI)

Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Jordan Addison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Brant Kuithe has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.05 Units / 42% ROI)

Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)

USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 43% ROI)

USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)

USC has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)

USC has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Utah has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Utah have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)

Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

USC is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
USC is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
USC is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Utah is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Utah is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Utah is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

#6 USC is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493

#6 USC is 7-3 (.583) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

#6 USC is 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. USC

#11 Utah is 8-2 (.727) when not losing a fumble — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

#11 Utah is 10-2 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457

#11 Utah is 7-2 (.636) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .426

#11 Utah is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .609

Matchup Notes for USC vs. Utah

Utah’s TEs has 143 receptions in 19 games (7.5 per game) since the 2021 season — best among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has gained 1,764 yards on 143 receptions (12.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 143 receptions in 19 games (7.5 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 18.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

USC has gained 1,491 yards on 112 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — second-best among Pac-12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — second-worst among Pac-12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for second-best among FBS defenses.

USC’s WRs has gained 1,190 yards on 81 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — second-best among Pac-12 WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC WRs have 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

USC’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — second-worst among Pac-12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 13.8 receptions per game this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#11 Utah TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#11 Utah TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#11 Utah TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#11 Utah TEs have been targeted 20 times in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (19/124) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#6 USC has averaged 4.8 sacks per game this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 2.1

#6 USC has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (19/124) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 7%

#6 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 18 of 71 carries (25%) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%

#6 USC has averaged 4.8 sacks per game this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.3

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#11 Utah has allowed one passing TD (98 pass attempts) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 21.5

#11 Utah has allowed one touchdown on 51 completions this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 12.9

#11 Utah has allowed 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (415 yards / 52 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.0

#11 Utah has intercepted 7 of 98 attempts (14.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.4

#11 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 55 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

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