Utah vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Baylor head coach Dave Aranda yells from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Albany in Waco, Texas, Saturday, Sept. 3, 2022. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • Utah is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Utah Utes visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Waco.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Utah vs. Baylor Over/Under is 47 total points.

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Utah vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah-7.5 -11047 -110-275
Baylor +7.5 -11047 -110+225

Utah vs Baylor Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 71.7% confidence.

Utah vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 71.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Richard Reese has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Utah is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
  • Utah is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Utah is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Baylor is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Baylor is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -27.36% ROI
  • Baylor is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Baylor is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

#14 Utah is 10-2 (.714) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

#14 Utah is 14-4 (.609) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .370

#14 Utah is 17-4 (.810) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .562

#14 Utah is 17-6 (.586) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Baylor is 11-4 (.500) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .370

Baylor is 7-6 (.538) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Baylor is 12-4 (.545) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Baylor is 12-5 (.545) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .354

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Baylor

Baylor’s WRs has gained 4,385 yards on 299 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs gained 2,134 yards on 136 receptions (15.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs gained 2,134 yards on 136 receptions (15.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs had 111 receptions in 14 games (7.9 per game) in the 2022 season — best among FBS TEs. Baylor’s defense allowed just 18.8 receptions per game in the 2022 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 217 receptions in 29 games (7.5 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 19.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs had 111 receptions in 14 games (7.9 per game) in the 2022 season — best among P5 TEs. Baylor’s defense allowed just 18.8 receptions per game in the 2022 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#14 Utah TEs have averaged 7.9 receptions per game (198/25) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

#14 Utah TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (276/25) since the 2021 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

#14 Utah TEs have averaged 7.9 receptions per game (198/25) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

#14 Utah TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (276/25) since the 2021 season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

#14 Utah TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

Baylor WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6

Baylor TEs have been targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Baylor’s WRs has gained 4,385 yards on 299 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Baylor’s WRs gained 2,134 yards on 136 receptions (15.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Baylor TEs have 62 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#14 Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12%.

#14 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4

#14 Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 18 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#14 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

#14 Utah has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (5/44) this season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

Baylor has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 30 attempts (23%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Baylor has sacked opposing QBs just once on 81 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Baylor has sacked opposing QBs just once on 81 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4

Baylor defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Baylor has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 30 attempts (23%) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 9%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.