Utah vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
  • Utah is a -3.5 point favorite vs. BYU
  • Utah vs. BYU Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Utah (5-1) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on BYU (6-0) on Oct. 18 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Utah vs. BYU Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Utah vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah-3.5 -10548.5 -105-170
BYU +3.5 -11548.5 -115140

Utah vs BYU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 54.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Utah has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Utah is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 5.85% ROI
  • Utah is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Utah is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • BYU is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 15.53% ROI
  • BYU is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • BYU is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

BYU is 12-2 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .668

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Utah’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 174 attempts this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s WRs has 153 receptions in 18 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. BYU

Utah’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 174 attempts this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s WRs has 153 receptions in 18 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7

BYU is 12-2 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .668

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU is 12-2 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .668

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 174 attempts this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s WRs has 153 receptions in 18 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7

Utah Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU is 12-2 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .668

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .602

BYU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 174 attempts this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s WRs has 153 receptions in 18 games (just 8.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7


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