Utah vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Colorado cornerback Travis Hunter (12) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Colorado is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Utah
  • Utah vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Utah Utes (4-5) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Utah vs. Colorado Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Utah vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah+11.5 -11046.5 -105+340
Colorado -11.5 -11046.5 -115-450

Utah vs Colorado Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah vs Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+2.00 Units / 61% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Micah Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Isaac Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Isaiah Augustave has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.18% ROI).

  • Utah is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -19.6% ROI
  • Utah is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI
  • Utah is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.85 Units / 49.49% ROI).

  • Colorado is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 48.11% ROI
  • Colorado is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • Colorado is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Utah is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .752

Utah is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .617

Utah is 10-3 (.769) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Utah is 10-4 (.714) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .637

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Colorado is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .590

Colorado is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .644

Colorado is 6-5 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Colorado is 6-8 (.429) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Colorado

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s WRs have just 115.0 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 137.7 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Utah’s RBs has gained 276 yards on 28 receptions (9.9 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Micah Bernard (UTH) has averaged 3.4 targets per game this season — 4th-highest of Qualified Big 12 Running Backs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs have just one touchdown on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0

Utah TEs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah WRs have averaged a touchdown every 20.3 receptions (203 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8

Utah TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 2,882 passing yards in 9 games (320.2 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 175.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado TEs have averaged just 4.2 yards per reception (17 yards/4 catches) in the 1st half this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.7

Colorado TEs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (50 yards/7 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (128 completions/259 attempts) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%

Utah has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (128 completions/259 attempts) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Utah has allowed 25 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 2.0

Utah has allowed opponents to catch just 128 of 254 passes (50% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (29/272) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado has allowed 49.3 receiving yards per game (444/9) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.3

Colorado sacked opponents 7 times last week– most in the Big 12

Colorado has averaged 3.2 sacks per game this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Colorado has sacked opponents 29 times this season– most in the Big 12


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.