Utah vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • Oregon (8-2) are -3 point favorites vs Utah (8-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points

The Utah Utes (8-3) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (9-2) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Eugene.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Utah vs. Oregon is total points.

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Utah vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah
Oregon

Utah vs Oregon Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 50.9% confidence.

Utah vs Oregon Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Oregon, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 6.08% ROI
  • Utah is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Utah is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.43% ROI
  • Oregon is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Oregon is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

#15 Utah is 7-4 (.636) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

#15 Utah is 14-4 (.636) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

#15 Utah is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .562

#15 Utah is 14-5 (.609) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

#10 Oregon is 11-2 (.786) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#10 Oregon is 14-4 (.667) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

#10 Oregon is 11-3 (.688) when passing for more than 200 yards — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#10 Oregon is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Oregon

Oregon’s TEs has 9 receiving touchdowns this season — third-most among FBS TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 9 receiving touchdowns this season — second-most among P5 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 12 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among P5 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed 23 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — third-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 178 receptions in 23 games (7.7 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 76 receptions in 9 games (8.4 per game) this season — best among FBS TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 23.9 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 178 receptions in 23 games (7.7 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah’s TEs has 178 receptions in 23 games (7.7 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 76 receptions in 9 games (8.4 per game) this season — best among FBS TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 23.9 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 178 receptions in 23 games (7.7 per game) since the 2021 season — best among P5 TEs. Oregon’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

#10 Utah TEs have caught 12 touchdown passes this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Utah TEs have been targeted 10.8 times per game (248/23) since last season– tied for highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#12 Oregon TEs have been targeted 22 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (19 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

#12 Oregon TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Oregon TEs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 16 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#10 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

#10 Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 16 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

#10 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

#10 Utah has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 38 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 9%

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 Oregon has averaged a sack every 33.3 pass attempts (333 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.4

#12 Oregon has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%

#12 Oregon has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/333) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%

#12 Oregon has allowed 28 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most in FBS

#12 Oregon has allowed 28 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.