Utah St vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

A Hawaii football helmet sits on a case before the start of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 19, 2015, in Honolulu. (AP Photo/Eugene Tanner)
(AP Photo/Eugene Tanner)
  • Utah St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Hawaii
  • Utah State vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: SPEC

Utah State (3-2) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (4-2) on Oct. 12 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00am EDT.

Utah St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Utah State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Utah State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State-1.5 -11057.5 -110-125
Hawaii +1.5 -11057.5 -110105

Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Hawai'i will win this game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah St and Hawaii, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai'i will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah St is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hawaii iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Hawaii is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Hawaii is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Hawaii is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Utah State was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (22 completions/36 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 39 carries (5%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Hawai’i allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 27 of 365 attempts (7%) last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Hawaii

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (22 completions/36 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 39 carries (5%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Hawai’i allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 27 of 365 attempts (7%) last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Utah State was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Utah State was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (22 completions/36 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 39 carries (5%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Hawai’i allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 27 of 365 attempts (7%) last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Utah State was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Hawai’i has allowed 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (179 yards / 16 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (22 completions/36 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Hawai’i has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 39 carries (5%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Hawai’i allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 27 of 365 attempts (7%) last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 10%


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