- Air Force is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Utah State Aggies visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in U.S. Air Force Academy.
– is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at ().
The Utah State vs. Air Force Over/Under is total points.
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Utah State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah State | |||
| Air Force |
Utah State vs Air Force Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 77.5% confidence.
Utah State vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.04 Units / 54% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Utah State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Utah State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Air Force is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 17.54% ROI
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Air Force is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Utah State is 15-4 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .533
Utah State is 11-2 (.846) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .569
Utah State is 12-4 (.706) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .586
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
Air Force is winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457
Air Force is undefeated (7-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .569
Air Force was winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
Air Force is 11-6 (.647) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Air Force
Air Force has gained 109 yards on 3 receptions (36.3 YPR) this season — best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s TEs has 6 receptions in 12 games (just 0.5 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-worst among FBS TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s offense has thrown for 109 passing yards in 2 games (just 54.5 YPG) this season — worst among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State has gained 424 yards on 54 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 6.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 3,121 passing yards in 15 games (just 208.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 161.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has gained 378 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 6.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has gained 424 yards on 54 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 6.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 3,121 passing yards in 15 games (just 208.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 161.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has gained 378 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 6.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s offense has thrown for 2,961 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 161.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 3,121 passing yards in 15 games (just 208.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 161.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — best among FBS defenses.
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 3.2 receptions per game (91/28) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 5.7 times per game (85/15) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 30.2
Air Force WRs averaged 25.5 yards per reception (715 yards/28 catches) in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 6.6 times per game (184/28) since the 2021 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.9
Air Force WRs have averaged just 2.8 receptions per game (77/28) since the 2021 season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 43 of 162 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 43 of 162 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Utah State allowed a passer rating of 240.9 in the Red Zone (33.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 161.7
Utah State allowed a passer rating of 240.9 in the Red Zone (33.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5
Utah State allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (315 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 4.9
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed 236.9 yards from scrimmage per game since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 378.5
Air Force has forced 4 fumbles this season– tied for 2nd-most in FBS
Air Force allowed 8 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1
Air Force has forced 4 fumbles this season– tied for 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Air Force allowed 257.3 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 383.7
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