Utah State vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:12 PM
  • Colorado St is a -6 point favorite vs. Utah State
  • Utah State vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Utah State Aggies (4-7) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Colorado St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Utah State vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado St vs Utah State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Utah State vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State+6 -11058.5 -105+190
Colorado State -6 -11058.5 -115-225

Utah State vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 66.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah State vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • Utah State is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -41.7% ROI
  • Utah State is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Utah State is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.55 Units / 20.99% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.87% ROI
  • Colorado State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Colorado State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Utah State is 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Utah State is 4-12 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .432

Utah State is 10-10 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Utah State is 2-10 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .354

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Colorado State is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .641

Colorado State is 9-1 (.900) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

Colorado State is 9-1 (.900) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .640

Colorado State is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .613

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 2,149 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.4 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 245.2 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State has just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 3,004 passing yards in 11 games (273.1 YPG) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 243.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 6,345 passing yards in 24 games (264.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 246.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 3,040 passing yards in 11 games (276.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 243.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State RBs have averaged 8.0 Yards per Carry (498 yards/62 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Utah State’s QBs has thrown for 3,004 passing yards in 11 games (273.1 YPG) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 243.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 6,345 passing yards in 24 games (264.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 246.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State QBs rushed for 184 yards last week– most among FBS Teams

Utah State’s offense has thrown for 3,040 passing yards in 11 games (276.4 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 243.0 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State WRs were targeted 24 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State Skill Players were targeted 25 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State Skill Players were targeted 21 times in close and late situations last week– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State WRs had 16 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 2,149 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.4 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 245.2 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 19 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 19 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Utah State has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2

Utah State has no interceptions (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.5

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has averaged a sack every 31.1 pass attempts (373 Pass Attempts/12 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Colorado State has averaged a sack every 31.1 pass attempts (373 Pass Attempts/12 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3

Colorado State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (12/373) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State allowed opponents to catch 278 of 389 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.