Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Utah State (4-5) are -11.5 point favorites vs Hawaii (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on Spectrum Sports

The Utah State Aggies (6-5) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the Hawai’i Warriors (3-8) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Honolulu.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Utah State vs. Hawaii is total points.

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Utah State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State
Hawaii

Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 69.2% confidence.

Utah State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Hawaii, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+16.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.72 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+11.62 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • Utah State is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • Utah State is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hawaii has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Hawaii is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -59.29% ROI
  • Hawaii is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Hawaii is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii

Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .493

Utah State is 9-2 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .500

Utah State is 12-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .533

Utah State is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State Skill Players have caught just 2 of 12 passes (17% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

Utah State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 182 carries (91 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

Utah State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 10 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Utah State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (575 yards/168 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Utah State QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 11.9 times per game (250/21) since last season– 2nd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Hawai’i Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (41 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Hawai’i RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Hawai’i QBs have 19 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Hawai’i RBs have been targeted 69 times on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 63%

Utah State has sacked opponents 10 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most in FBS

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Hawai’i Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (33 completions/76 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Hawai’i has forced 31 fumbles since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Hawai’i has averaged 1.2 sacks per game this season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.