- Iowa is a -25.5 point favorite vs Utah State
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Utah State Aggies visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Iowa City.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The Utah State vs. Iowa Over/Under is total points.
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Utah State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah State | |||
| Iowa |
Utah State vs Iowa Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Utah State vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Iowa vs Utah State and all games with BetMGM
Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.61 Units / 44% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Utah State went 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.8% ROI
- Utah State went 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- Utah State went 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Iowa went 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.64% ROI
- Iowa went 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Iowa went 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Utah State is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Utah State is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .556
Utah State is 14-4 (.737) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .540
Utah State is 10-2 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .569
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
#25 Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .630
#25 Iowa is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .519
#25 Iowa is 10-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .555
#25 Iowa was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355
Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Iowa
Iowa’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 348 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s TEs gained 1,060 yards on 87 receptions (12.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Utah State’s defense allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s TEs had 87 receptions in 13 games (6.7 per game) in the 2022 season — third-best among FBS TEs. Utah State’s defense allowed just 15.9 receptions per game in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s QBs threw for 2,396 passing yards in 12 games (just 199.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Cooper Legas (UTS) threw for 1,499 passing yards in 10 games (149.9 YPG) in the 2022 season — 10th-worst of Qualified Quarterbackss. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.
Utah State’s QBs threw for 2,396 passing yards in 12 games (just 199.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State’s QBs threw for 2,396 passing yards in 12 games (just 199.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Utah State’s QBs threw for 2,396 passing yards in 12 games (just 199.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s offense threw for 2,256 passing yards in 12 games (just 188.0 YPG) in the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.
Utah State’s offense threw for 2,256 passing yards in 12 games (just 188.0 YPG) in the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Utah State’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 4.5 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
#25 Iowa WRs averaged a touchdown every 38.0 receptions (76 Rec/2 TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
#25 Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1
#25 Iowa WRs averaged a touchdown every 38.0 receptions (76 Rec/2 TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8
#25 Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
#25 Iowa TEs have been targeted 77 times on 3rd down since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 39 of 147 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Utah State allowed 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (354 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1
Utah State had no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.2
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 39 of 147 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.
Utah State allowed 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (354 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.9
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
#25 Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 42 carries (14 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7
#25 Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 465 carries (116.2 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.9
#25 Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 42 carries (14 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.8
#25 Iowa allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,444 yards/244 completions) in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 12.6
#25 Iowa allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 20 of 417 attempts (5%) in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
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