Utah State vs Memphis Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: First Responder Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Memphis Tigers (6-7) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (7-6) on Dec. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:15pm EST in Dallas.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Utah State vs. Memphis Over/Under is total points.

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Utah State vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State
Memphis

Utah State vs Memphis Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 70.1% confidence.

Utah State vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Utah State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah State players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Memphis is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Memphis is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Memphis is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Memphis is 3-8 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

Utah State is 9-2 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .493

Utah State is 14-4 (.737) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Utah State is 3-1 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .481

Utah State is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .556

Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Memphis

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Memphis Skill Players have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Memphis Skill Players have 30 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (760 yards / 204 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Utah State RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (674 yards/193 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Utah State WRs have been targeted 182 times on 3rd down since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (424 yards / 123 touches) in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Utah State WRs have 1,589 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis has not recorded a sack (41 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4

Memphis has allowed just 11.4 yards per completion (5,918 yards/517 completions) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0

Memphis has averaged a sack every 24.9 pass attempts (374 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.2

Memphis has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has sacked opponents 12 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Utah State has sacked opponents 12 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most in FBS

Utah State has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (315 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 33 of 128 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Utah State has allowed a passer rating of 240.9 in the Red Zone (33.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.