Utah vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:50 PM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Utah Utes (5-2) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (6-0) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Pasadena.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Utah vs. UCLA is total points.

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Utah vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah
UCLA

Utah vs UCLA Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 53.3% confidence.

Utah vs UCLA Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tavion Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Utah is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Utah is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UCLA is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • UCLA is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • UCLA is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

#12 Utah is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .562

#12 Utah is 8-4 (.571) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

#12 Utah is 10-2 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .455

#12 Utah is 8-2 (.727) when not losing a fumble — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

UCLA is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .562

UCLA is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

UCLA is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .426

UCLA is 8-2 (.571) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. UCLA

UCLA’s backfield have 57.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS backfields. Utah’s defense has allowed just 201.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

UCLA’s backfield have 77.2 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among FBS backfields. Utah’s defense has allowed just 129.0 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among P5 defenses.

UCLA’s backfield have 77.2 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among FBS backfields. Utah’s defense has allowed just 129.0 receiving yards per game this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s tight end unit has 36 receptions in 4 games (9.0 per game) this season — best among P5 TE corps. UCLA’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s tight end unit has 36 receptions in 4 games (9.0 per game) this season — best among FBS TE corps. UCLA’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah’s tight end unit has 138 receptions in 18 games (7.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TE corps. UCLA’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

#11 Utah TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (36/4) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.5

#11 Utah TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#11 Utah TEs have averaged 7.7 receptions per game (138/18) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

Utah’s tight end unit has 36 receptions in 4 games (9.0 per game) this season — best among P5 TE corps. UCLA’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

#11 Utah TEs have been targeted 20 times in the 1st quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

#18 UCLA QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#18 UCLA RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#18 UCLA RBs have averaged 17.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (223 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.4

#18 UCLA RBs have averaged 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (577 yards / 61 touches) on 3rd down since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

#18 UCLA Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/1) since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#11 Utah has allowed one passing TD (98 pass attempts) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 21.5

#11 Utah has allowed 134.0 Passing Yards per game (536/4) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 225.6

#11 Utah has allowed a passer rating of just 85.4 (98.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 128.6

#11 Utah has allowed a passer rating of just 85.4 (98.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 120.4

#11 Utah has allowed 134.0 Passing Yards per game (536/4) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 234.1

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 UCLA has sacked opposing QBs just once on 65 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

#18 UCLA has allowed 23 rushing TDs on just 76 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

#18 UCLA’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 11% of PATs since last season– 3rd highest in FBS; Average: 4%

#18 UCLA has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 45 of 597 attempts (7%) since last season– tied for 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

#18 UCLA has allowed 23 rushing TDs on just 76 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.